RESEARCH

Most Americans like Canada. Many don't know why it matters.

From the Goodbit Team · May 15, 2026 · 4 min read


American conversations about Canada usually treat the country as a side comment: friendly, familiar, and mostly beside the point. That familiarity hides a problem. The relationship is everywhere in ordinary American life, but often absent from the way people understand their own economy. Canada may be a state's biggest trading partner without becoming part of how voters think about jobs. Alberta energy can show up in a gas tank without showing up in a political conversation. Warmth toward Canada can sit on top of a much thinner understanding of what the relationship actually does. The problem is not indifference. It is absence. The people whose prices, work, energy, and security are tied to the relationship are often the people least likely to have been asked to form a view about it. In March, Goodbit used a short digital engagement with about 1,000 voters in Arizona and Colorado to understand what Americans know about Canada, where the gaps sit, and whether those gaps can be corrected at scale.

What we tried (and what we didn't)

We did not start by asking people whether they approved of Canada. Approval was too blunt a measure. The more useful question was whether people understood the relationship well enough to recognize why it matters. Participants moved through twenty-five true-or-false claims about trade, energy, alliance history, and tariff mechanics. The experience was built to test factual awareness and then watch what happened when people encountered information that challenged their assumptions. After the game, Goodbit's conversation layer picked up where the claims left off. It asked what surprised people, what felt relevant, and what they would actually repeat to someone else. The goal was not persuasion in the usual sense. It was to reach people who are usually missing from elite conversation about the relationship and listen for what they actually understood.

What happened

The first finding was simple: Americans like Canada. The second finding mattered more: many did not understand the relationship they liked. Two-thirds of participants did not know Canada was their state's biggest trading partner. Most guessed China. After the game, 80% retained the right answer. That is the easy success story: information landed. The geography made the result more interesting. Tucson and southern Arizona showed the lowest baseline awareness of Canada's role in the state economy. In southern Arizona, that meant a district tied to Hudbay's Copper World project, South32's Hermosa critical-minerals development, Bombardier's aerospace service centre, and roughly 4,000 jobs at Canadian-owned companies in Pima County. Colorado Springs, where NORAD gives the relationship a different kind of institutional presence, showed the largest belief shift. The same relationship looked different depending on whether people could see it from where they stood. Warmth was real, but understanding was uneven.

The same relationship looked different depending on whether people could see it from where they stood.

What the conversations revealed

The conversations showed that trade was not abstract once people could locate it. Participants talked about gas, jobs, prices, and the practical ways a relationship between countries shows up in ordinary life. The format also mattered. Several participants described the experience as different from a poll, a news article, or a political argument. They could be wrong without performing wrongness, and change their mind without having to announce the change. Different kinds of movement followed. About 28% of participants were Reframers: people whose understanding changed because the information gave them a clearer structure. Another 24% were Amplifiers: people already inclined to support the relationship who became more willing to talk about it. About 23% were Absorbers: people who took in the information but did not yet convert it into a stronger public position. Roughly a quarter appeared harder to reach through information alone. The campaign did not simply divide people into informed and uninformed. It showed which people could be moved by evidence, which needed a social reason to repeat it, and which were unlikely to shift because of facts alone.

What this means for the work

The Canada-U.S. relationship is not weak because Americans dislike Canada. The risk is quieter than that: it is a relationship people support without fully understanding. That kind of support can look stable until it is tested. Then the missing structure matters. If people do not know how Canada shows up in their own state, they are easier to move with a competing story. If they understand the relationship only as sentiment, they have less to hold onto when tariffs, energy claims, or political narratives start moving through the system. Listening changes the work. It shows where the relationship is visible, where it is hidden, and which people need more than another fact. That difference between what people already think they know and what they are actually uncertain about is the whole game.

For the full methodology and findings, read American Understanding of Canada-U.S. Trade.


From the Goodbit Team · May 15, 2026